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The evil empire is back on top. The Crimson Tide were awarded the #1 ranking this week by the playoff committee for their emphatic win over the Mississippi State Bulldogs. State, meanwhile, drops to #4, so they still have a great chance at making the inaugural postseason four-team tournament if they win out. That would mean a matchup between Bama and Mississippi State. #2 Oregon and #3 Florida State held serve after the Ducks had a bye and FSU squeaked by a mediocre Miami Hurricanes team.
Just outside the top four are the #5 TCU Horned Frogs, who fall out of the final four from last week's rankings. The Big 12 could potentially have a very awkward situation if both TCU and the #7 Baylor Bears win out. TCU is currently ranked ahead of Baylor, but if both finish the season with one win, the official conference champion would be Baylor due to the head-to-head matchup.
Of course, both TCU and Baylor could be left out because...SURPRISE!!! The #6 Ohio State Buckeyes are very close to crashing the playoff party after the national audience left the B1G for dead once the #11 Michigan State Spartans lost on the road to Oregon. The Buckeyes will likely be 20-point favorites in their remaining games (Indiana and Michigan both at home), so a trip to the B1G Championship Game is all but decided. A win over a hot #16 Melvin Gordon Wisconsin Badgers team could propel OSU over the Big 12, which doesn't hold a championship game.
In the Pac-12, the last remaining hope is Oregon, although the #9 UCLA Bruins have the slightest of chances of making it in. They'll have to win out and beat a one-loss Ducks team in the Pac-12 championship to have any hope at all.
Rank | Team | Last week | Week 12 result | Toughest opponent left (per F/+) | If the season ended today ... |
1 | Alabama (9-1) | 5 | Won 25-20 vs. No. 1 Mississippi State | Auburn | Sugar Bowl vs. Mississippi State |
2 | Oregon (9-1) | 2 | Idle | Oregon State | Rose Bowl vs. Florida State |
3 | Florida State (10-0) | 3 | Won 30-26 at Miami | Boston College | Rose Bowl vs. Oregon |
4 | Mississippi State (9-1) | 1 | Lost 25-20 at No. 5 Alabama | Ole Miss | Sugar Bowl vs. Alabama |
5 | TCU (9-1) | 4 | Won 34-30 at Kansas | Texas | New Year's bowl |
6 | Ohio State (9-1) | 8 | Won 31-24 at No. 25 Minnesota | Michigan | New Year's bowl |
7 | Baylor (8-1) | 7 | Idle | Kansas State | New Year's bowl |
8 | Ole Miss (8-2) | 10 | Idle | Mississippi State | Orange Bowl vs. Georgia Tech |
9 | UCLA (8-2) | 11 | Idle | USC | New Year's bowl |
10 | Georgia (8-2) | 15 | Won 34-7 vs. No. 9 Auburn | Georgia Tech | New Year's bowl |
11 | Michigan State (8-2) | 12 | Won 37-15 at Maryland | Penn State | New Year's bowl |
12 | Kansas State (7-2) | 13 | Idle | Baylor | |
13 | Arizona State (8-2) | 6 | Lost 35-27 at Oregon State | Arizona | |
14 | Auburn (7-3) | 9 | Lost 34-7 at No. 15 Georgia | Alabama | |
15 | Arizona (8-2) | 14 | Won 27-26 vs. Washington | Arizona State | |
16 | Wisconsin (8-2) | 20 | Won 59-24 vs. No. 16 Nebraska | Minnesota | |
17 | Utah (7-3) | 23 | Won 20-17 (2OT) at Stanford | Arizona | |
18 | Georgia Tech (9-2) | 22 | Won 28-6 vs. No. 19 Clemson | Georgia | Orange Bowl vs. Ole Miss |
19 | USC (7-3) | NR | Won 38-30 vs. Cal | UCLA | |
20 | Missouri (8-2) | NR | Won 34-27 at No. 24 Texas A&M | Arkansas | |
21 | Oklahoma (7-3) | NR | Won 42-30 at Texas Tech | Oklahoma State | |
22 | Clemson (7-3) | 19 | Lost 28-6 at No. 22 Georgia Tech | South Carolina | |
23 | Nebraska (8-2) | 16 | Lost 59-24 at No. 20 Wisconsin | Minnesota | |
24 | Louisville (7-3) | NR | Idle | Notre Dame | |
25 | Minnesota (7-3) | 25 | Lost 31-24 vs. No. 8 Ohio State | Wisconsin |
For reference, here is this week's AP, USA Today Coaches', and Massey composite polls to compare the playoff committee's rankings:
AP | Coaches | Massey composite | |
1 | Florida State | Florida State | Alabama |
2 | Alabama | Alabama | Oregon |
3 | Oregon | Oregon | Ole Miss |
4 | Mississippi State | Mississippi State | Mississippi State |
5 | TCU | TCU | TCU |
6 | Baylor | Baylor | Florida State |
7 | Ohio State | Ohio State | Baylor |
8 | Ole Miss | Ole Miss | Ohio State |
9 | Georgia | Michigan State | Georgia |
10 | Michigan State | Georgia | Auburn |
11 | UCLA | Kansas State | UCLA |
12 | Kansas State | UCLA | Michigan State |
13 | Arizona State | Arizona | Kansas State |
14 | Wisconsin | Arizona State | Wisconsin |
15 | Arizona | Wisconsin | Oklahoma |
16 | Auburn | Georgia Tech | Arizona State |
17 | Georgia Tech | Auburn | Marshall |
18 | Marshall | Marshall | Georgia Tech |
19 | Missouri | Nebraska | Nebraska |
20 | Utah | Missouri | LSU |
21 | Nebraska | Utah | Arizona |
22 | Colorado State | Oklahoma | Missouri |
23 | Oklahoma | Colorado State | USC |
24 | USC | USC | Utah |
25 | Duke | Duke | Clemson |