FanShot

Rutgers has a 20% chance of earning a BCS bid

Just for fun I calculated those odds myself using the moneylines on oddshark and rough odds conversion ratios. I also estimated WVU's odds at winning @USF to be about the same as them winning home against Pitt since the USF game odds aren't available yet. I got to 20% by assuming that WVU must lose ONE of their last TWO games (each has a 30% chance of happening so there is an apox 50% at least one happens) and that RU must beat UConn (60% chance) and LVille must lose to USF (60% chance). There's also a 10% chance RU gets it's BCS bid by this Saturday afternoon. By all means check my math or suggest alternative values or assumptions. None of it means anything for certain, of course. I just figured I'd while some work time away before Thanksgiving. Happy holidays everyone! (also link just goes to oddshark.com, fyi)

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